There’s been a lot of talk about the polls recently showing Biden to win in a landslide. +9 in Fla, +2 in Georgia, * 1 in Texas. I think Biden is up in all the swing states which would give him an electoral landslide. I don’t think this is going to happen. In those same polls Dems by a 2/1 margin want to vote against Trump than vote for Biden.So after some thoughts, here’s my conclusion at this point in time:
Trump fatigue. From the day he was elected, there’s been a concerted effort to remove him from office. While the Dems, Media and Never Trumpers didn’t succeed in removing him, the general public is tired of the battles. I’m shocked that Trump survived the onslaught. But he did.
Covid 19. This was a sucker punch. Nobody saw this one coming. Lots of so called experts were and still all over the map. Lots of finger pointing going around. But Trump has taken most of the blame. Again, the media pounded him. But he’s been right about China all along.
George Floyd. This really spread faster than Covid. While a vast majority agree that what happened to Floyd was a travesty. Trump does too. But it spurned violence and social unrest.
So, at this point in time, it’s Trump vs Trump. Biden has been kept under wraps. I don’t think most Americans even know what he’s running on. As with Hillary, he hasn’t granted a presser in months. No tough questions. Not that the media would ask them anyways. But he has to speak sooner or later. Can a candidate win the election while hiding like UBL did in a cave? Who knows?
I guess time will tell. Will Biden articulate his policies? Or just bash Trump? How will he perform in the debates? Will he even show up? How will he perform without a teleprompter?
The polls don’t start polling likely voters until Labor Day. I think they will tighten up significantly in September barring another jolting event. No one can predict that.
Your thoughts if any?