Forbes isn't too optimistic.
The Volcker Rule Will Not Work
Most of what we heard during the 40 months the Volcker Rule was being
written by the regulators came from the incredibly effective Wall Street
lobbying machine. Articles appeared in all of the major financial publications
saying the Volcker Rule would destroy banking as we know it. The underlying
arguments were always that Wall Street wasn’t really responsible for the
financial meltdown, that if there had been some minor problems the banks
had already fixed them, and therefore no major structural changes were
needed.The regulators were hearing the same things—in spades. A study by
Duke Law Professor Kim Krawiec demonstrated how lopsided the lobbying on the Volcker Rule was. She found that, between July 26, 2010 and July 7, 2011, 93.6 percent of the meetings with commissioners and staff of the five
regulators charged with writing the rule were with financial institutions, law
firms representing financial institutions, or financial institution trade
associations, lobbyists, or policy advisors. Only 3.2 percent represented labor or public interest groups; another 3.2 percent came from congressional staff members.
http://www.forbes.com/sites/tedkaufm...will-not-work/
Another article:
The Volcker Rule could be a major contribution to financial stability. Or it could still flop. The devil now is in the details of implementation and compliance – and how much of this becomes public information and with what time lag.
http://economix.blogs.nytimes.com/20...ule-work/?_r=0
And another:
So will the Volcker Rule work? In the short run, it’s very likely to succeed.
Unless there is constant public and Congressional pressure and persistent
vigilance on the part of regulators to adapt and enforce the rule, it is unlikely
to be remain successful in the long-run.
http://www.forbes.com/sites/michaelb...ker-rule-work/