Romney won about 60% of the white vote in 2012. And I would bet more than 60% of the MALE white vote. And lost. The number of white male voters has shrunk percentage-wise since 2012. A lot of young, white male voters were pro-Bernie and now that he is gone, do you think these voters will move to Clinton or Trump?
So I would say that Clinton will do no worse with white male voters than Obama did.
Originally Posted by SpeedRacerXXX
A few things. Some of the predictions in the "bean counting" come from "exit polling" in the prior elections. The most telling example of their unreliability is the 2004 decision by John Kerry to skip an Ohio election day stop and go on to Boston in preparation of the "Victory Party"! That decision was base on "exit polling" that he was going to carry Ohio.
Secondly, the DNC is not done.
Thirdly, the only way one can determine "comparative shifts" is to poll using the same data base so that trends in attitude can be more accurately tracked. It is going to also depend on the questions asked in the following interviews and the tone of the person asking.
Fourth, the same "pollsters" and "pundits" predicting the current status as it relates to the general election were also the ones predicting a year ago that Trump didn't have a chance. At each "misstep" or "error" it was the same .... he's "toast"! Even in that same sample group he's within the margin of error!
Doesn't sound like "toast" to me when going up against the "heir apparent"!
I hope the Hillary camp relies on the "old assumptions" ...
... the U.S. Navy did at Pearl Harbor!