I hear so many conflicting stories on this virus.. it may peter out soon, or it will be next year, MINIMUM, before we can even begin to start back towards "normal".. but while I think May 1st is not a real date.. even Republicans consider it a starting point, and I think we are already at that point, considering much of the economy never shut down.. I think June 1st is realistic, because..
consider most of the Country went on "lockdown" about March 16. allow for a couple of late starters who didn't get the message, or allow for rolling hot spots.. we are at April 1st.. the virus allegedly takes up to 3-4 weeks to infect, another 2-3 weeks for an infected person to recover (if he doesn't die).. one more week for good measure.. we are about at June 1st.
assuming no significant fuck ups, where hot spots appear during that May period.. and it shouldn't if we behave.. why is June 1st implausible? that would be my shoot for date.. announce it soon, let everyone know, and we will stay motivated to self-quarantine.. crack down very hard on scofflaws.
tell me why my analysis is off, if it is.. I hear so much shit, from "nobody will be stricken after June", to "at least half the World will get the virus" before all is done. that is all noise to me. my motto is "don't tell me why it can't be done, show me how it can".. I think it "can", following the playbook I outlined.