China Taiwan Catalyst for the Greatest Depression

CPT Savajo's Avatar
When China moves to claim Taiwan by force will that be the catalyst that crashes global stock markets igniting the greatest depression ever seen in the United States? Possibly, and here's why.

As China reduces the amount of US Treasuries they own that will probably be an indicator that they're getting close to moving on Taiwan. When they get to $250 billion or less is when they'll likely be ready to blockade the island. When the naval blockade becomes real and it's not a drill Beijing and Washington will let the economic sanctions fly.

The severity of the sanctions will depend if the US gets directly involved. If the US gets directly involved we will see the greatest depression inside of the USA that's ever been witnessed in the history of the country. Even if the US doesn't get directly involved we may still witness such an event.

Due to sanctions the retail sector in America will get absolutely destroyed and it will ripple into other sectors of the overall economy. When the distribution warehouses begin to run dry of goods coming from China big box stores like Wal-Mart, Target, shopping malls, dollar stores, Lowe's, Home Depot, etc will begin laying off employees en mass.

I predict that you'll go into a Wal-Mart or a Lowe's store at a date in the future and the manufactured side will be bare. Nothing but empty shelves because most of the goods come from China. But before that happens the people will sense that something is wrong as the prices at Wal-Mart and Lowe's keep getting revised upwards because they'll know just how low stock is at their respective distribution warehouses and that information will not be shared with the public. Sensing the rising prices the people will opt to shop at flea markets, thrift stores, online websites like Facebook Market Place/Amazon/Ebay, and pawn shops to find manufactured goods that can't be purchased at big box stores as shelves go bare. As a result such stores will raise their prices significantly because by that time the people will know what's going on. While all that is going on the stock market will drop faster than a rock in a wet paper bag, probably a knee-jerk reaction caused by the severity of sanctions or direct involvement.
texassapper's Avatar
Thats exactly why Trump has moved to tarriff everything. Hes trying to break our addiction to cheap Asian shit before the shooting kicks off over Taiwan. One way pr another China is going to move on Taiwan before 2030. they need 20 years to rehab their image after the invasion in time for their 100th anniversary in 2049. Just like they needed 20 years after Tianeman to get the Olympics.

Strategery!!!
Schwarzer Ritter's Avatar
Yep, Trump's trying to fix what became a massive advantage for the commies under Biden. It was Obama and Biden who said those jobs are never coming back.
Idiotcracy! Can you do math? You can't hire a fucking high school kid to flip burgers for less than 16-18/hr. Foreign manufacturing is far, far below that in labor cost, including logistics/shipping, etc... A tariff is a SALES TAX placed on the importer that will be passed on to the consumer.


So, let's say wages are a whopping 4/hr USD overseas, tariff it at 100% and it's still half what that high school kid gets to spit on your big mac. Manufacturing is NEVER coming back and anyone with any intelligence doesn't want it to.
txdot-guy's Avatar
Read about the silicon shield. An invasion of Taiwan would be catastrophic for the global chip market.

https://www.financialcontent.com/art...istory-of-tsmc

Despite Chinese propaganda over Taiwan it’s to their benefit to recruit taiwanese workers and technology transfers so they can build their own chip manufacturing to rival samsung and tsmc than taking over Taiwan.

Something that the US was trying to do under Biden via the CHIPS and Science Act. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/CHIPS_and_Science_Act


If you want to watch the documentary you can see it here.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ogQX8oUk9-g
It will be difficult for China to form a blockade on Taiwan with their ships at the bottom of the straight.
texassapper's Avatar
Idiotcracy! Can you do math? You can't hire a fucking high school kid to flip burgers for less than 16-18/hr. Foreign manufacturing is far, far below that in labor cost, including logistics/shipping, etc... A tariff is a SALES TAX placed on the importer that will be passed on to the consumer.


So, let's say wages are a whopping 4/hr USD overseas, tariff it at 100% and it's still half what that high school kid gets to spit on your big mac. Manufacturing is NEVER coming back and anyone with any intelligence doesn't want it to. Originally Posted by 69in2it69
I like how you think flipping burgers is manufacturing.