ROMNEY HAS BIG LEAD

joe bloe's Avatar
Dick Morris is one of the best pollsters and political strategists in America. He says Romney is going to win easily. Here are the results of a recent LIKELY VOTER poll.

Romney Has Big Lead In My Poll

With all the conflicting polls and survey samples using registered — as opposed to likely — voters, I decided to conduct my own poll using the same methodologies I used so successfully for Clinton.
On Thursday, August 23rd, I conducted a national survey of 500 likely voters through live telephone interviews. The poll finds Romney ahead of Obama by 50-43! — far, far different from the published polls.
(The sample was 33% Democrat, 31% Republican, 11% black, and 8% Latino).
Apart from the head-to-head vote question, my survey tracks with the others on most of its internals.
Obama’s personal favorability is 47-50 while Romney’s is 48-48. The president’s job approval is at 46%.
Asked who would do the best job of:
Improving the economy = O-39 / R-49
Creating jobs = O-38 / R-50
Strengthening Medicare = O-44 / R-42
While the Medicare issue is important, it is not the major factor. Asked which is more important, “protecting and strengthening Medicare or improving the economy and creating jobs?” The economy wins by 67-18.

Comparing Medicare plans without explaining them, voters break even with 41% favoring Obama’s and 42% backing Romney’s. Asked which scares them the most, Obama’s scared 46% and Romney’s scared 44%.
But Vice Presidential candidate Paul Ryan has scored a bull’s eye by his comparison of the two Medicare plans and the following answers indicate:
Whose plan do you agree with more? Obama who would save $716 in Medicare spending and use the money to cover the uninsured or Romney who would make the same savings but use the funds to extend the life of the Medicare trust fund?
Obama’s 38% / Romney’s 53%
And the President continues to draw big negatives over his plans to intervene in medical decision making:
President Obama’s health care law sets up a Board to issue guidelines and instructions to doctors and hospitals on what procedures, medications, or treatment to use for each illness. Do you agree or disagree with this aspect of Obama’s legislation?
Agree: 33% / Disagree: 61%

After argumentation, disagreement with Obama’s Medicare cuts becomes even sharper:
Supporters of this provision say that it will allow us to save funds in Medicare without cutting care. They say that the Board can stop unnecessary tests or overly costly treatments that do not help the patients. But opponents say that it will lead to rationing of Medicare treatment. They say that the Board would ban the most effective medicines to treat cancer, for example, because they are too expensive and might stop old people from getting hip replacements or heart bypasses. In view of these arguments, do you agree or disagree with this aspect of Obama’s legislation?
Agree: 30% / Disagree: 57%
Voters agree by 56-20 that “Romney and Ryan would not change Medicare for current beneficiaries or for people who are now over 55.” And, by 25-60, they reject the statement that “Romney and Ryan would end Medicare and leave the elderly without a good alternative.”
By 48-33, voters agree that “President Obama has not proposed any real long term fix for Medicare” although by 63-18 they agree that “In a few years, Medicare will exhaust its trust fund and will go bankrupt unless we enact changes and reforms.”
But Romney still has some selling to do. Only 38% agreed and 31% disagreed that “Romney will always allow elderly to stay in traditional Medicare. He will just offer a voucher system that will have more attractive alternatives.”

In evaluating the health care and Medicare issue, voters feel that high medical malpractice costs play a key role in driving up costs. By 63-20, they agree that “the abuse of medical malpractice law suits is a big reason medical costs are so high.” By 57-37, they support Romney’s proposals to “curb medical malpractice litigation” agreeing that it “will save billions and extend the life of Medicare.”
Tomorrow, I’ll discuss the survey’s findings on the economy, Obama’s possible second term plans, Bain Capital, Romney’s taxes, the negative campaigning on both sides.

http://www.dickmorris.com/romney-has...oll/#more-9547
Doove's Avatar
  • Doove
  • 08-28-2012, 01:57 AM
The polls are mixed. You can't just quote an outlier poll as if that's the final word. Originally Posted by joe bloe
Can't take you seriously. Just can't.
supersnake1976's Avatar
Mmh, we all need to stop "tasting" different flavors to find the right one, we've come to manage our country as if it were a Football or Basketball team, firing the head coach for a few bad results, I believe in continuity and consistence, we gotta stick with what we have and try real hard to make the best of it, not excusing Obama for preventable mistakes but sometimes people's lack of memory forget who brought the country down to the hole it is now, it wasn't not only the Bush family but everyone involved around them, we tend to blame it all on former president Bush but he was only a mere puppet, the tip of the pile of trash behind our political and corrupted system, so, in other words, Obama will definitely got my vote next elections because I already know what he's capable of and what's not, why should we try to go with someone like Romney and his radical ideas, nah! I think it is better to know and be disappointed, than to not know and always wonder.
joe bloe's Avatar
Can't take you seriously. Just can't. Originally Posted by Doove
Your lack of respect for my opinion is a badge of honor.
Dawgs's Avatar
  • Dawgs
  • 08-28-2012, 08:48 AM
It ain't over until the fat lady sings, and that won't be until November.
Yssup Rider's Avatar
Your lack of respect for my opinion is a badge of honor. Originally Posted by joe bloe
You don't need no stinking badges.
Leno had a poll showing Romney had 0% support from blacks which was up 5% from last week..
Dawgs's Avatar
  • Dawgs
  • 08-28-2012, 11:49 AM
Now that is funny!!
joe bloe's Avatar
Leno had a poll showing Romney had 0% support from blacks which was up 5% from last week.. Originally Posted by ekim008
Also a badge of honor.
Yssup Rider's Avatar
Also a badge of honor. Originally Posted by joe bloe
Ahh, so you don't like blacks either, eh?
CuteOldGuy's Avatar
While I can see many reasons to not vote for Romney, I can still see NO reason for anyone of any group or ethnicity to vote FOR Obama.
joe bloe's Avatar
Ahh, so you don't like blacks either, eh? Originally Posted by Yssup Rider
I like blacks just fine. What I don't like is the way liberals try to manipulate conservatives by saying they don't have enough black support, so there must be something wrong with them. That's the essense of pointing out Romney's lack of black support, as if that proves he's racist.

Nobody acuses blacks of being racist when they openly admit they voted for Obama because he's black. If a white person said they had voted for a candidate because he was white, there would be hell to pay. I don't like double standards.

Tea Party rallies are largely white. Liberals say they must be racists because there aren't enough black people in attendance. Liberals would never call the NAACP racist because of a lack of white participation.
CJ7's Avatar
  • CJ7
  • 08-28-2012, 03:10 PM
and Johnson will suck off the TP'ers that would have otherwise, voted for Willard.
joe bloe's Avatar
and Johnson will suck off the TP'ers that would have otherwise, voted for Willard. Originally Posted by CJ7
Thoughtful and informative as always. Your contributions are always much appreciated.
CJ7's Avatar
  • CJ7
  • 08-28-2012, 04:03 PM
Thoughtful and informative as always. Your contributions are always much appreciated. Originally Posted by joe bloe

yeah, Johnson snatching votes out from under Willard burns your ass up doesnt it ?