Race tightens pre-Sandy. GET READY TO CRUMBLE, ROMNEY!

All you folks who defended the Electoral College after Shrub won, better STFU.

You're about to reap what you sowed.

Pollsters aren't able to do much of anything right now. But latest info has the race within ONE POINT in the popular vote, and POTUS winning in the electoral college.

I suppose the combination of POTUS getting to work during this crises and Romney's repeated pissing on providing Federal assistance to disaster victims might just be the October surprise we were all waiting for.

SO I SUPPOSE YOU CAN NOW OFFICIALLY GO FUCK YOURSELVES!

FROM THE CHRISTIAN SCIENCE MONITOR:


Presidential polls: Where presidential race stands as hurricane Sandy buffets US politics
Presidential polls: Hurricane Sandy is interfering with pollsters' ability to collect accurate data about the public's views on the presidential race. Here's a status report on where the Obama-Romney contest stood pre-Sandy.


By Peter Grier, Staff writer / October 29, 2012


It's crunchtime as hurricane Sandy disrupts campaigning for President Obama and his Republican challenger Mitt Romney.

Election polling is among the many American activities hurricane Sandy is disrupting. At least two major tracking polls – the Gallup poll and the Investor’s Business Daily/TIPP survey – have suspended operations as the gigantic storm sweeps across much of the US Northeast. Other pollsters might find their jobs more complicated if millions of households in the region lose power and become unreachable by phone.

That said, now might be a good time to sit back and look at overall polling measures of the presidential race. It could be the last time prior to Election Day that we get to see numbers that haven’t been swung one way or another by falling wires and flooded roads.

For major compendiums of polls – which crunch together lots of surveys to try to mitigate the errors and chance inherent in the business – the bottom line remains as it has for some time now: Republican Mitt Romney retains a narrow edge, so narrow that it falls within the margin of error of the enterprise.

The RealClearPolitics rolling average of major polls, as of Monday afternoon, had Mr. Romney leading President Obama by one percentage point, for instance, 47.7 percent to 46.7 percent.

The Huffington Post statistical model, which combines state and local polls, in contrast showed Romney up by a mere two-tenths of a percentage point, 47.4 percent to 47.2 percent.

Both these measures have been generally stable over the past week. (Both also take into account Monday’s Politico/George Washington University Battleground poll, which shows Mr. Obama up by one percentage point, and the daily Gallup tracking poll, which had Romney back up by five among likely voters. So, partisans, please don’t e-mail us saying we’re ignoring the polls most favorable to your candidate.)

But in the race to 270 Electoral College votes and actual victory, Obama appears to maintain the small lead he’s had for weeks. The Huffington Post state-by-state model judges Obama likely to collect 277 Electoral College votes, according to how things stand at the moment, with Romney at 206.

The “Now-cast” of New York Times polling analyst Nate Silver puts Obama as the favorite to win 299.8 electoral votes, given current state polls, with Romney’s corresponding number at 238.2

This apparent split in the state and national results stems from Obama’s continued leads in the many of the most important battleground states, such as Ohio, where the RealClearPolitics rolling average puts him in front by a slim 1.9 percentage points. Obama’s also up in New Hampshire and Iowa, by around 2 percentage points in each case, while he’s tied with Romney in Colorado and Virginia, according to RCP.

Again, this reflects a situation that has seemed stable over the past week to 10 days. Even with only a week left in the race, there’s still time for that to change, of course, given that the margins between the candidates are so slim. But hurricane Sandy’s effects may in essence throw lots of noise into poll results, meaning surveys might not reflect any movement one way or another until Election Day is almost upon us.

All you folks who defended the Electoral College after Shrub won, better STFU.

You're about to reap what you sowed. Originally Posted by Yssup Rider

I haven't heard anyone on the right - not even on this board - complain about Obama winning the Electoral College only. So just who are you telling to STFU? Someone in your imagination?

Also, the folks who defended the Electoral College in 2000 are not about to reap what they sowed.

Because they didn't "sow" anything. The Electoral College is "sown" by the Constitution, not the GOP or Dems.

The more you post, the more idiotic you look. Step away from the PC and get some sleep, it will do you good. Over the last couple of days, you have succeeded in making your arch-enemy IB Hankering look like a genius.

Seriously, we say this out of love. You've got a lot of people worried about you.

It has been my mission.

I don't remember you posting anywhere in 2000. Or in 2004.

I don't need a civics lesson, O humorless one. What I do need to is hear more whining from your White Wing Extremists and less of your conspiratorial blather.

That said, how about Romney's shrinking "lead?" Was there ever a doubt?

It has been my mission.

I don't remember you posting anywhere in 2000. Or in 2004. Originally Posted by Yssup Rider

I have no idea what that means or how it is related to anything in this thread. Fatigue must be getting to you. However, if you must know, I joined ASPD in September 2000 - one year to the day before 9-11. So I was right on schedule for the Bush-Gore shit storm. Where were you?

I don't need a civics lesson, O humorless one. What I do need to is hear more whining from your White Wing Extremists and less of your conspiratorial blather. Originally Posted by Yssup Rider

I don't "whine" about the election - if for no other reason than I don't care which of the 2 candidates wins. And I never engage in conspiracy theories - not even the Kennedy assassination.

That said, how about Romney's shrinking "lead?" Was there ever a doubt? Originally Posted by Yssup Rider

Now that's a good example of whistling past the graveyard

Of course there was a doubt. A big one. Self-inflicted by Obama.

Six weeks ago, Obama had a commanding lead and the momentum. And then the first debate happened.

Obama's lead evaporates and the momentum shifts to Romney. Even the dopey 47% comment barely changed anything.

So, now you point to some polls showing that the race has MAYBE shifted back to Obama by a half point and act like it's a sure thing?

The question you avoid is "How did it ever get this close to begin with"?

maybe... Eeyore!