Didn’t Trump’s lies garner him better interest rates? If so, that’s exactly what you’re arguing is illegal.
Originally Posted by 1blackman1
Yeah, Texassapper is grasping at straws. Firing Cook is a bigger deal than you'd think. Trump's master plan is to get control of the Fed and drop interest rates to 1%. Or that's what he says it is. This is a nutty idea. He wants to copy Turkish monetary policy, setting interest rates way below the inflation rate. That makes sense in a deep recession, but not when the economy is humming along. It's a recipe for out-of-control inflation.
Also, as I understood it, Trump's lies allowed him to receive financing in amounts at the lower interest he otherwise wouldn't have been qualified for. He would have had to leverage other properties to the bank incurring more debt, again, getting an essentially lower rate and lower repayment to the bank. Exactly what you argue is illegal.
Originally Posted by 1blackman1
No, actually what happened was that Trump was offered loans for development of the Chicago property by (a) the real estate arm of Deutsche Bank and (b) DB's private bank. The offer by the real estate arm was collateralized by the Chicago property and was non recourse, meaning that if the loan failed, DB couldn't go after Trump's personal assets. The loan was at a relatively high rate, pulling a number out of the air because I'm too lazy to research this, maybe 9%.
The private bank loan was collateralized by the Chicago property, AND also the bank would have recourse against Trump's unencumbered assets if it failed. Trump, as is his habit, lied about the value of those other assets. He said his net worth was $4 or $5 billion, when it was actually only $2 or $3 billion.
DB almost certainly knew Trump was puffing up his balance sheet. Based on evidence that came out in the court proceedings, DB looked at scenarios where Trump's net worth was around half of the amount he claimed. Anybody in the world with half a brain who's followed Trump closely would know he was lying about his net worth.
Anyway, because DB would be able to go after all of Trump's unencumbered assets if the Chicago loan failed, and because it figured he was worth $2 billion or more, and because the amount of the loan was around $700 million, the private bank offered him a substantially lower rate than the real estate group at DB, maybe around 4% or 5%.
Bizarrely, in coming up with his $500 million judgement, Engoron assumed that Deutsche Bank would have received whatever interest rate the real estate group was offering, 9% or whatever, if Trump hadn't lied about his net worth. Engoron chose to totally ignore that Trump's additional $2 billion or $3 billion made the private bank's lower interest loan a much safer bet than the higher interest nonrecourse loan.
There doesn't always need to be a victim in fraud attempts. The laws are there to 'discourage' the exact actions that Trump et al was doing because they could easily lead to ill gotten gains, and engorgements based on fraud. It's not that hard of a concept. And assuming that deutsche bank got the loan interest paid back- doesn't mean they didn't have a claim of loss. Perhaps if the loan application referred or revealed that the valuations were askew- the loan would have been issued at a higher rate or terms more favorable to the bank for taking on extra risk. That's all a bank bases the loan on. Collateral and risk- equals terms and rates. Banks are publicly traded companies and as shareholders,aka owners- those owners have an interest in getting as much juice from every loan that they are legally entitled to. LEGALLY - meaning based on the standards of GAAP and valuations that are signed off on, as being fair and honest representations of the value- not some hucksters assessment and thumb on the scale type of value.
If Trump falsely got better rates etc., or had sub-rated collateral based on valuations - then DB could have been seeking compensation. They didn't probably because of a long banking arrangement and of course not to politicize this even more- imagine if they had what Trump would be doing to them right now?!
Originally Posted by eyecu2
Eyecu2, you have an insider's perspective on this that the rest of us don't, and a stronger appreciation of what's in the bank's best interest. Agreed, people should be truthful on loan applications. As explained above, I believe DB went into this with its eyes wide open. Trump's reputation and history, including his Atlantic City bankruptcies, were well known.
as far as politicizing energy.. Both parties and administrations are guilty and just fucking over the population on shit that is dumb. The only thing that I am not a fan of- is offshoring our natural gas resources onto an open market. My prediction is once that happens in wholesale - pricing of local gas is going to increase, just as electricity has increased; In that capacity perhaps exit tariffs should be in place so that all this doesn't fall on the average joe' pocket book.
Originally Posted by eyecu2
Have to disagree with you on this. The USA is the Saudi Arabia of Natural Gas. And it's not just the Marcellus, the Haynesville, the Gulf Coast and associated gas from West Texas. The resource in the Rockies, in the Green River, Piceance and Uinta Basins is huge. We have the largest gas resources in the world. It's very possible that developing LNG exports would actually in the long run result in lower domestic natural gas prices, because of the additional infrastructure and development.
President Carter made a big mistake, because he believed the USA was going to run out of natural gas, so he discouraged development. Better to forge ahead and provide clean(er) burning natural gas produced in the USA to the world IMHO.